English Premier League Preview

There really were not enough matches in Europe this weekend to do more rankings, so look here for a review of the Premier League matches of the weekend. Instead of rankings we have more predictions for English Premier League matches! The formula now includes adjustments for home and away and therefore should be more accurate than last time, when it still worked pretty well. Home team listed first.

Tottenham v West Ham
7:45 ET Monday
Most Likely Scores:
Tottenham 3-1 West Ham, 7.31% probability
Tottenham 4-1 West Ham, 7.18%
Tottenham 3-0 West Ham, 7.13%
Tottenham 4-0 West Ham, 7.00%

Tottenham Win: 86.53%
Draw: 8.06%
West Ham Win: 5.41%

Blackburn v Sunderland
10:00 ET Monday
Most Likely Scores:
Blackburn 1-1 Sunderland, 12.73%
Blackburn 0-1 Sunderland, 11.19%
Blackburn 1-0 Sunderland, 9.36%

Blackburn Win: 31.30%
Draw: 26.81%
Sunderland Win: 41.88%

Chelsea v Fulham
10:00 ET Monday
Most Likely Scores:
Chelsea 1-0 Fulham, 19.74%
Chelsea 2-0 Fulham, 17.40%
Chelsea 0-0 Fulham, 11.20%
Chelsea 3-0 Fulham, 10.23%

Chelsea Win: 70.36%
Draw: 21.34%
Fulham Win: 8.31%

Everton v Burnley
10:00 ET Monday
Most Likely Scores:
Everton 2-1 Burnley, 9.83%
Everton 1-1 Burnley, 9.01%
Everton 2-0 Burnley, 8.86%
Everton 1-0 Burnley, 8.12%

Everton Win: 61.75%
Draw: 19.89%
Burnley Win: 18.36%

Stoke City v Birmingham
10:00 ET Monday
Most Likely Scores:
Stoke City 0-0 Birmingham, 27.09%
Stoke City 1-0 Birmingham, 20.55%
Stoke City 0-1 Birmingham, 14.83%
Stoke City 1-1 Birmingham, 11.25%

Stoke City Win: 36.72%
Draw: 39.56% (First time I’ve ever seen a draw be most likely)
Birmingham Win: 23.71%

Wolverhampton v Manchester City
14:45 ET Monday
Most Likely Scores:
Wolverhampton 1-1 Manchester City, 12.24%
Wolverhampton 0-1 Manchester City, 11.54%
Wolverhampton 1-2 Manchester City, 9.26%
Wolverhampton 0-2 Manchester City, 8.73%

Wolverhampton Win: 26.57%
Draw: 25.74%
Manchester City Win: 47.69%

Aston Villa v Liverpool
14:45 ET Tuesday
Most Likely Scores:
Aston Villa 1-0 Liverpool 13.20%
Aston Villa 1-1 Liverpool, 12.16%
Aston Villa 2-0 Liverpool, 10.07%
Aston Villa 2-1 Liverpool, 9.28%

Aston Villa Win: 51.40%
Draw: 25.82%
Liverpool Win: 22.78%

Bolton Wanderers v Hull City
15:00 ET Tuesday
Most Likely Scores:
Bolton 2-1 Hull City, 9.66%
Bolton 2-0 Hull City, 9.01%
Bolton 1-1 Hull City, 8.21%
Bolton 1-0 Hull City, 7.66%
Bolton 3-1 Hull City, 7.58%

Bolton Win: 65.86%
Draw: 18.35%
Hull City: 15.79%

Portsmouth v Arsenal
14:45 ET Wednesday
Most Likely Scores:
Portsmouth 0-2 Arsenal, 10.53%
Portsmouth 1-2 Arsenal, 9.88%
Portsmouth 0-1 Arsenal, 9.77%
Portsmouth 1-1 Arsenal, 9.16%

Portsmouth Win: 15.26%
Draw: 19.51%
Arsenal Win: 65.23%

Manchester United v Wigan
15:00 ET Wednesday
Most Likely Scores:
Manchester United 3-0 Wigan, 12.32%
Manchester United 4-0 Wigan, 11.72%
Manchester United 2-0 Wigan, 9.72%
Manchester United 5-0 Wigan, 8.91%

Manchester United Win: 92.38%
Draw: 5.48%
Wigan Win: 2.14%