The AL Preview wraps up with what is likely the best division in baseball, the AL East. As always I'll highlight a new addition, a key player, and a player that may break out this season, and wrap it up with a prediction. Teams appear in order of expected finish.
New York Yankees
Same Face, New Place: Curtis Granderson. Granderson was traded to the Yankees in the off-season and simply put, the rich got richer. Granderson will certainly take advantage of the short porch in right field, maybe even more than Johnny Damon did last season. I don't see him hitting leadoff this season with Derek Jeter still on the team, but Granderson's increase in power signals that he may be better suited to hit either second in the lineup or further down in the six or seven spot.
Key Player: Javier Vazquez. When the playoffs came around last October, the Yankees took full advantage of the all the off-days, using only three starters throughout the course of the post season. This season, the playoff schedule will be fixed to prevent that and the Yankees will need a fourth starter to defend its World Series title. Right now Vazquez is that guy and unfortunately for the Yankees, when the pressure is high, Vazquez usually hides. If the Yankees want to repeat, they'll need Vazquez to step up when it counts.
Player to Watch: Brett Gardener. With the Yankees, the team is so full of established players that Gardener is the only player that baseball fans might not know a lot about. He had a fairly good season last year in a limited role (248 AB), and he'll get a chance to claim left field full time. If he does, I can very easily see him breaking out in a big way, he did steal 26 bases last season so if he gets a full season's worth of at-bats, he could steal a ton of bases and creating more opportunities for the power hitters at the top of the Yankees lineup.
Final Verdict: The Yankees have such a deep team and it's very hard to find any holes with this team. The pitching is good as long as Vazquez is kept out of high pressure situations, the bullpen is solid with Rivera and either Hughes or Chamberlain setting him up. The lineup is just full of power hitters and are dangerous 1-9. They should win the division and the only question is will this team win 100 games?
Tampa Bay Rays
Same Face, New Place: Rafael Soriano. Soriano comes over from the Braves to be the closer for the Rays this season. A great move for the Rays as they finally have a reliable closer to finish games (I know Troy Percival all too well, but that's another story). This move also gives everyone in the bullpen an assigned role and that seems to be effective in having a solid bullpen because everyone then knows their role and are comfortable in what they're doing.
Key Player: Pat Burrell. Burrell is in year two with the Rays and the Rays are hoping that he bounces back from a poor 2009. The Rays don't need a ton of help on offense but to get the normal averages from Burrell are obviously wanted on any baseball team and can really solidify the middle of the Rays order.
Player to Watch: Wade Davis. This 24-year old pitcher is slotted to be the #5 starter for the Rays this season after making an impressive big league debut late last season. Davis has a solid fastball and 3 secondary pitches to choose from. Being in the fifth spot in the rotation is a real luxury for a hot prospect because the pressure isn't there because he won't be facing off against the CC Sabathias and Josh Becketts of the world every time out there. Scouting reports say Davis' mound presence is a real asset and confidence is something Davis will have when he faces the lineups of the Red Sox or Yankees.
Final Verdict: The Rays are likely going into this season with the belief that this is the last season where they have both Carl Crawford and Carlos Peña who will both be free agents next season. With that in the minds of the team, and the obvious talent that this team has they'll be a dangerous team this year. The pitching is deep from James Shields down to Davis, the bullpen will be solid with defined roles for everyone, and the offense will be balanced with power from the middle of the lineup and speed and contact from everyone else.
Boston Red Sox
Same Face, New Place: Mike Cameron. Cameron has been everything that consistency stands for. He posted his fourth straight season of 20+ home runs and is also a dependable center fielder. An outfield with Cameron and Ellsbury is a sound defensive outfield and allows Cameron to shade more to right field to cover some of the ground of J.D. Drew.
Key Player: David Ortiz. Ortiz experienced a rough first half to 2009 but bounced back in a huge way in the second half and finished with 28 home runs and 99 RBI. His abysmal first half really hurt his AVG/OBP/OPS numbers which is why statheads are down on him, but he'll have to have a full year similar to his second half if the Red Sox want to do well.
Player to Watch: Daniel Bard. Bard is the closer-in-waiting for the Red Sox and will force the Red Sox to make a decision on Jonathan Papelbon and they'll be comfortable letting Papelbon go if Bard has a good season this year. If Bard struggles, I won't be surprised to see Papelbon kept and to keep Bard in a middle receiver role.
Final Verdict: The Red Sox have as good of pitching as any team in baseball. The rotation gives Boston a chance to win every night and the bullpen will give Francona many options to shorten the game. The real question is the lineup. Yes, in the age of sabermetrics the Red Sox have a good lineup, but in baseball sense they lack that one hitter that strikes fear into opposing pitchers (The Yankees have their entire lineup essentially, the Rays have Longoria and Peña). I think that lack of power will hurt the Red Sox but no matter how you look at it Boston, Tampa, and New York will be battling for 2 playoff spots all season.
Baltimore Orioles
Same Face, New Place: Kevin Millwood. Millwood is coming to Baltimore to be at the top of the Orioles rotation. Millwood is coming over after a fairly successful stint in Texas where the ballpark is more of a launching pad for home runs. If he can continue that success in Baltimore as well as mentor the young pitching prospects that will be in the rotation with him, he'll be a success for the Orioles.
Key Player: Adam Jones. Jones makes up the core of the Orioles future along with Matt Wieters and Nick Markakis so he'll have to take yet another step forward if the Orioles ever want to compete in the AL East. Jones had a very productive year last year where he hit .277 with a .335 OBP, and .792 OPS. He did miss most of the end of the season so those numbers should realistically continue to climb as well as his power numbers and stolen base numbers. He could become the most lethal threat out of the Orioles big three with the ability to hit for power and steal bases, but he'll need to stay healthy to continue to develop.
Player to Watch: Brian Matusz. Matusz is just one of the Orioles top pitching prospects and he's on the verge of breaking out. I'd argue he is the Oriole's best pitching prospect but there is an argument that could be made for Brad Bergesen. Last season Matusz won 5 games while striking out 38 over just 44.2 innings. Couple that with his impressive Spring of a 3.10 ERA and 19 strikeouts in 20.1 innings, he seems poised to become a household name this year. Granted he will have to face the Yankees, Rays, and Red Sox it may not be an easy journey for him to make.
Final Verdict: The Orioles are in a really tough spot playing in the AL East. They have a team on paper that I would say could compete in either the AL Central or AL West but having to play the Yankees, Rays, and Red Sox so many times isn't a recipe for a successful season when your team is so young. Offensively, the O's have different ways of attacking either with the long ball or hitting and running all over the place. The pitching is young but talented and if they can get the most out of those young arms they might be able to compete for a little while, but in the long run it'll just be too difficult to win the division this year.
Toronto Blue Jays
Same Face, New Place: Alex Gonzalez. Gonzalez goes across the border after playing in Cincinnati and Boston last season. If the Blue Jays are going to have any success they'll need Gonzalez to produce similar to what he did down the stretch last season for the Reds. He hit .284 and scored 26 runs in 44 games for the Red Sox, while not overly impressive you can imagine how helpful that would be to the Blue Jays lineup.
Key Player: Aaron Hill. Hill had a remarkable season last year, he hit .286 with an .829 OPS and hit 36 home runs with 108 RBI while playing second base. To get that type of offensive production from second base is a real luxury to have, but Hill will have to put up those numbers again to keep the Blue Jays competitive.
Player to Watch: Marc Rzepczynski. The 25-year old southpaw had an average rookie season that saw him post a 2-4 record and a 3.67 ERA with 60 K's in 61.1 innings. That K rate is something to take note of, especially in the AL East with such powerful offenses. The more he can get guys to swing and miss the better he'll be and the better the Jays will be.
Final Verdict: The Blue Jays basically knew they weren't going to compete this season when they decided to trade away Roy Halladay and I think this preview reflects that. The offense might be able to put up good numbers but Aaron Hill seems poised to regress from his outstanding 2009 and there just aren't enough guys in that lineup to pick up those lost power numbers. I think Vernon Wells bounces back this season and Adam Lind will continue to shine but that's about it offensively from this team. Pitching is a real concern, the Jays lack a real top of the rotation arm and the bullpen seems very fragile.